‘An Alarming State of Affairs’: Hostilities on Iran Constricts India's Cooking-Gas Availability.
The shockwaves of a conflict being fought nearly a significant distance away are now being felt in India's homes.
As US-Israeli strikes on Iran impede energy transports through the Strait of Hormuz, stocks of cooking gas are tightening across India, forcing restaurants to shorten food lists, shorten hours and in some cases shut down altogether.
Social media is filled with video clips showing lines outside cooking-gas dealers across Indian cities and towns as anxieties over fuel supplies grow. Restaurant kitchens appear the worst hit: the most severe shortage is in restaurant kitchens.
"The situation is dire. LPG simply cannot be found," says a spokesperson of the National Restaurant Association of India.
Most restaurants run either on industrial fuel canisters or piped gas, and the lack of supply are now being experienced across the country. "A lot of restaurants have shut down - some in northern India, many in the south. People are adopting coal and wood and electric cookers to keep kitchens going."
Regional Impact
In a financial hub, accounts say up to a significant portion of hospitality businesses are already operating at reduced capacity as cylinder availability dwindle. In the southern cities of Bangalore and Madras, some restaurants say their gas stocks have depleted with scarce alternatives. "Our menu is reduced to coffee and nothing else - it is truly dismal. Commerce will take a hit," says a restaurant owner in Bengaluru.
Restaurant managers are rushing to adjust. "Offering lists are shrinking, some are opening only for dinner and operating solely in the evening," an industry representative says, adding that shutdowns are varying as supplies wax and wane. "A number of eateries in Delhi were shut yesterday - two have already reopened. It's a fluid situation."
Retailers note a spike in sales of electronic cooking appliances, with some saying they are facing stockouts.
Government Stance
Yet, the authorities insists there is sufficient stock.
India has more than 300 million home fuel subscribers and spokespersons say stocks are being reallocated to households as geopolitical strain from the regional hostilities ripple through energy markets.
About a majority of India's LPG is brought in from overseas, and about 90% of those shipments pass through the key maritime route, the vital passage now significantly disrupted by the war.
The oil ministry says that it instructed refineries to maximise LPG output for household consumption, lifting domestic production by about a significant margin. Commercial stock is being reserved for essential sectors such as hospitals and educational institutions, while distribution will be "fair and transparent".
"Some panic booking and hoarding has been sparked by misinformation. The normal delivery cycle for household cylinders remains about 60 hours," says a senior official.
Growing Panic
Now the concern is extending beyond kitchens. On online networks, a widely shared video from Chennai shows a lengthy, winding line of scooters outside a gas outlet. "The panic is real," the text reads.
According to data from market experts, concerns about India's broader fuel supplies may be premature.
India imports the overwhelming majority of its oil. Around half of its oil purchases - about 2.5-2.7 million barrels a day - travel through the passage, largely from regional suppliers.
Even if crude flows through the Strait of Hormuz are disrupted, the deficit could be partly offset by higher imports of discounted Russian crude, according to a industry commentator.
Based on maritime intelligence and credible market sources, incremental Russian crude imports could reach around a significant volume of barrels a day, reducing India's effective shortfall from exposure to the Strait of Hormuz to about 1.6 million barrels a day.
"A large quantity of Russian oil barrels are currently floating on ships in the Indian Ocean and, with only India and China as major buyers, those barrels remain a available backup," an analyst noted.
LPG: The Real Vulnerability
The primary concern is cooking gas, commentators observe.
India consumes roughly one million barrels a day, but produces only 40-45% domestically, importing the rest - 80–90% through the chokepoint.
Refineries can adjust processes to extract a bit more LPG, but even a moderate increase would only lift domestic supply to about under half of demand, leaving the country significantly leaning on imports.
In short: "Petroleum shortage concerns can be somewhat alleviated through varied suppliers. Processed petroleum stocks remains relatively comfortable. Kitchen fuel stocks is the critical issue to watch in the coming weeks."
What may be intensifying the panic on the ground is not just tight supply but patchy deliveries - and the common threat of hoarding.
An industry representative states exploitative practices.
"Retailers are exploiting the situation - black-marketing cylinders and selling them at a high cost. In one small town, I heard of cylinders being stockpiled and sold at a premium."
For now, India's petroleum stocks may be protected by worldwide shipping. But in restaurants across the country, the more immediate question is simple: how to get the next gas canister.